News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final


By DorsetSaint
January 17 2011

Don't you just love the contributors to COYSDC? Here's a handy, cut-out-and-keep guide to what Northampton Saints have to do to guarantee a home Quarter-final in year's Heineken Cup . (Hope it's right, I haven't checked it! Ed)...

NUMBER CRUNCHING!

 

Well, when we win in France then the numbers below will be irrelevant but...

 

 

DorsetSaint says...

 

"Someone had to be sad enough to do this..."

 

2pts or more from the game away to Castres, we have a home QF (so yes, a draw would do it)

1pt v Castres, then at least 4 out of the 5 scenarios below needs to happen elsewhere to deny us a home QF;

1) Toulouse gets a draw (or 2pts) or better away to Wasps or 1pt and matches the no. of tries we score in wk6

2) Leinster win away at Racing Metro

3) Ulster get a bonus point win away at Aironi and score 5 tries more than us in wk6 and/or Biarritz gets a bonus point win over Bath and scores 2 more tries than us in wk6

4) Leicester get a bonus point win at home to Treviso and/or Perpignan get a bonus point win at home to the Scarlets

5) Toulon get a bonus point win away to the Ospreys and score 3 tries more than us in wk 6

If we get 0pts v Castres, then at least 4 out of the 5 scenarios below needs to happen elsewhere to deny us a home QF;

1) Toulouse get 1pt or more away to Wasps, or get 0pts but matches the no. of tries we score in wk6

2) Leinster win away at Racing Metro or get a draw (or 2pts)and score no worse than 2 tries less than us in wk6

3) Ulster get a bonus point win away at Aironi and/or Biarritz beat Bath at home and scores 2 more tries than us in wk6, or Biarritz gets a bonus point win over Bath

4) Leicester win and score a try at home to Treviso, or win and don't score a try and we score fewer than 3 tries away to Castres and/or Perpignan beat the Scarlets at home

5) Toulon beat the Ospreys away and score 3 tries more than us in wk6

 

Couldn't be more straightforward!

News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: ComeOnYouSaints.com (IP Logged)
Date: 17/01/2011 23:37

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Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: Howlin (IP Logged)
Date: 18/01/2011 01:44

Sorry DS I'm in the camp (possibly on my own) who prefers to wait and see what actually happens. "take each game as it comes" as they say . A win in Castres is I believe a home quarter. Who against ? who cares!

Saint til I die

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: Wee Jim (IP Logged)
Date: 18/01/2011 07:16

It does show how important the win is though as in both the losing scenarios 4 of those 5 outcomes are a distinct possibility.

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: Paul Flatt (IP Logged)
Date: 18/01/2011 08:56

(Sm56)

A win would be nice!

"Your days are numbered. Use them to throw open the windows of your soul to the sun. If you do not, the sun will soon set, and you with it."

-- Marcus Aurelius, Roman Emperor 161-180 A.D.

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: StBleach (IP Logged)
Date: 18/01/2011 09:07

Well, I think that is a mighty impressive piece of research so well done - a lot of thought went in to that and I appreciate it.

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: OldPete (IP Logged)
Date: 18/01/2011 10:23

i have enough imponderables to bother me without getting into all that stuff - so Im with Howlin.

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: Chris Hoddle (IP Logged)
Date: 18/01/2011 10:37

3 points would see us through as well.

http://chrishoddle.smugmug.com/photos/i-TsCHdzK/0/M/i-TsCHdzK-M.gif

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: Stockers (IP Logged)
Date: 18/01/2011 10:56

Let's just win the bl**dy game!

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: Chris Hoddle (IP Logged)
Date: 18/01/2011 11:00

I remember last year on the final weekend we were watching aall the other results. There was one game when we were in then out then back in again all within a few minutes. Is a good feeling that at least we are in the mix. Winning would be most acceptable

http://chrishoddle.smugmug.com/photos/i-TsCHdzK/0/M/i-TsCHdzK-M.gif

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: St ann (IP Logged)
Date: 18/01/2011 11:13

Happy memories; how those pubs in Limerick rocked to the sound of Come On Leinster and the Wendys....

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: ChrisG (IP Logged)
Date: 18/01/2011 12:33

A happy afternoon in the Curraghower on the banks of the Shannon where by the end of the game not only did we have some of the Munster coaching staff cheering on Leinster but we also had them singing Oh Wendy.

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: Shaddo (IP Logged)
Date: 18/01/2011 12:52

Thanks for the effort Dorset Saint - although if we fail to win on Saturday I'm not looking forward to going through all the alternatives with a hangover on Sunday morning.

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: Miss Whiplash (IP Logged)
Date: 18/01/2011 13:37

Quote:
Sir
....when we were in then out then back in again all within a few minutes. Is a good feeling...

What a man!

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: flashman (IP Logged)
Date: 18/01/2011 16:26

Good Lord Whiplash, I wondered where you'd gone! Too busy reading rugby web sites looking for the next client it seems!

Anyway, see you in the usual little auberge just outside Castres on Friday. Fnar fnar.

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: Miss Whiplash (IP Logged)
Date: 18/01/2011 19:30

Quote:
flashman
Anyway, see you in the usual little auberge just outside Castres on Friday. Fnar fnar.

Regretably cherie all things must come to an end,I have been grateful for your company and contributions to our 'away days' in France, Italy, Scotland and Watford. You must admit though age has not been kind to you and what you used to do all night now takes you all night! As I am still pretty active, I am drawn to the promise of what 'Sir' can offer.

Launceston and the wind will always be special to me.

Adieu mon petit.

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: Howlin (IP Logged)
Date: 18/01/2011 19:32

Yeah Flashman, she doesn't wear Auberge anymore. It clashes with her varicose veins.

Saint til I die

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: Phil. (IP Logged)
Date: 18/01/2011 23:45

Thank you, Chris Rea...

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: ChrisG (IP Logged)
Date: 19/01/2011 07:04

Clermont Auberge? I'm confused. I can remember when this was a TV critics site.

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: flashman (IP Logged)
Date: 19/01/2011 12:00

Oh dear Miss Whiplash!! I may be knocking on a bit these days but if Hugh Hefner can keep it up at his age, there's plenty of life left in this old dog (Bless you Pfizer!)

Launceston and the wind?? It must have been the onions in the pasties!

Anyway, I'm just off to polish my helmet. Fine day for a go on the bike!

Re: News: HC: How to Guarantee a home Quarter-Final
Posted by: Miss Whiplash (IP Logged)
Date: 19/01/2011 14:16

Quote:
flashman
a go on the bike!

You used to call me that once!

(Sm18)

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